Rayo Vallecano, Getafe Clash Set for May 2

Rayo Vallecano will host Getafe in a mid-table La Liga clash at Estadio de Vallecas, with both teams aiming to improve inconsistent recent form and strengthen their chances for a higher finish. Advanced simulations suggest a closely contested match, giving Rayo Vallecano a slight edge with a 37.8% chance of victory compared to Getafe's 32.0%, while the probability of a draw stands at 30.2%. Despite both teams' recent struggles to score and defensive vulnerabilities, betting models recommend Getafe as a value pick due to favorable odds. The game is also expected to be highly physical, as historical data shows a high number of cards in previous derbies between these sides, and both are among La Liga's most-carded teams. Additionally, player suspensions and injuries may impact Rayo Vallecano's lineup, further balancing the contest. Over 2.5 total goals is considered a riskier but potentially rewarding betting option based on the available odds.