UN: Climate Pledges Fall Short of Paris Goals

The UN found that updated climate pledges from just 64 countries—covering roughly 30–33% of global emissions—imply global greenhouse-gas emissions will fall only about 10% by around 2035, a first meaningful decline but far short of the roughly 57–60% cuts scientists say are needed to keep warming under 1.5°C. The UN warned it cannot draw a robust global conclusion because most countries, including many G20 members and several major emitters, have not formally filed new plans and implementation gaps persist. The report and experts say current commitments point in the right direction but move too slowly, leaving the world off track ahead of COP30 in Belém, Brazil. Political shifts have complicated ambition: a U.S. 61%-by-2035 target set under President Biden has been disavowed by President Trump, who has pivoted toward expanding fossil-fuel production. National analyses echo the shortfall—Canada is now forecast to cut emissions about 20–25% below 2005 levels by 2030, well under its 40–45% federal target—prompting calls for a rapid policy reset to scale renewables, electric vehicles and carbon capture. Overall, the UN report and national studies underscore that stronger, faster and broader action at COP30 will be needed to close large ambition and implementation gaps.