Models Tip Half Yours as Rain Hits Cup

Macquarie Group’s long‑running quantitative model and a separate AI model have both tipped Caulfield Cup winner Half Yours as their Melbourne Cup pick. Heavy rain (about 23mm) has softened Flemington to around soft 6/7, favouring mud‑specialists such as Half Yours and Arapaho. Despite the wet ground, heavy betting — including a reported $500,000 wager — has pushed Al Riffa into outright favouritism, even though he must carry topweight of 59kg. Tipsters and racing experts remain split, with prominent each‑way and win recommendations for Presage Nocturne, Meydaan, Buckaroo and others, reflecting an open race and diverse betting strategies. The field is dominated by Northern Hemisphere bloodlines (21 of 24 starters), the Cup carries a A$10 million purse, and the race jumps at 3pm AEDT on Nov. 4 with live coverage on Channel 9/9Now.