Trump Campaigns in Virginia, New Jersey Amid Tight Gubernatorial Races

President Trump is actively campaigning and investing in Republican turnout efforts for the 2025 state elections in New Jersey and Virginia, including hosting tele-rallies to support GOP candidates. Despite not endorsing the struggling Virginia gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears, Trump and his allies remain focused on the New Jersey governor's race where Jack Ciattarelli is polling within striking distance of Democrat Mikie Sherrill. Trump has authorized significant Republican National Committee spending in both states and endorsed incumbent Republican Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares against Democrat Jay Jones, whose campaign has faced controversies. The elections are seen as a critical gauge for party strength ahead of the 2026 midterms, with Democrats optimistic given Trump's historically low approval ratings and the potential for strong Democratic performances. Market betting also reflects public interest and uncertainty, with active trading on election outcome probabilities, including the Virginia Attorney General race margin. Overall, these races are highly consequential for both parties, testing Trump's influence and the broader political climate in the lead-up to the midterm elections.